Modelo para estimar la sustentabilidad territorial frente a cultivos de papa. Caso de estudio: jurisdicción Páramo de Guerrero de Tabio Cundinamarca

Abstract

The present investigation corresponds to a case study, where a model was adjusted to estimate the territorial sustainability against potato crops in the jurisdiction of the Páramo de Guerrero in the municipality of Tabio, Colombia. Potato producers are social and economic agents who use and occupy a fragile territory as páramo is, and have the capacity to transform it, due to environmental impacts associated with their productive activities; that can lead not only to natural degradation and the loss of ecological resilience, but also to the offer of benefits that communities obtain from the ecosystem, which can jeopardize the maintenance of their livelihoods and their own well-being, in other words the territorial sustainability itself. In this context, it is necessary to know the territorial sustainability and to achieve the above, a dynamic model was defined and implemented, based on a review of frameworks and methods in international research used to determine agricultural sustainability in fragile or vulnerable ecosystems; The most recurring indicators were identified, which were subjected to a multicriteria analysis to facilitated their prioritization in terms of information availability, simplicity, and relevance, defining applicable indicators associated with the social, economic, technological, ecological and institutional factors that determine . agricultural sustainability. Finally, the indicators were included in the model, and sustainability was determined from the territorial, sociocultural, socioeconomic, and ecological-productive transformation dynamics considered for this research, obtaining probable territorial, trend and management scenarios.