Modelo para la predicción del riesgo por inundaciones en Bogotá D.D., mediante la simulación de escenarios hidrometeorológicos

Abstract

For the city of Bogotá D.C. The development of a flood risk model with the conditions and characteristics of the area is not evident. Where, the risk of flooding associated with phenomena of hydrometeorological origin is predicted, however, the localities in the studies carried out by the local risk management and climate change councils characterize different risks, but have not carried out the simulation of these, for Therefore, residents do not know when they could anticipate a risk of flooding and the conditions that make them vulnerable, to take preventive actions, avoiding great economic losses and human lives. The research seeks to generate different projections of these scenarios through the model and simulation, to evaluate the possible effects of climate variability, establish vulnerable areas and anticipate the city of Bogotá D.C. in the face of the climate risk of flooding planned for the year 2040.