Revista de la Mañana. La Incertidumbre del Brexit: análisis de la negociación, la decisión de la Corte

Abstract

Analyst Mauricio addresses the profound consequences of the European court's decision that allows the United Kingdom to unilaterally revoke Brexit. This forces a possible renegotiation and weakens the position of Theresa May's government. The Brexit process is divided into three key moments: the 2016 referendum called by David Cameron, the era of uncertainty under Theresa May, and the new phase marked by the judicial decision, which demonstrates the European Union's greater room for maneuver. The political uncertainty has generated great fear in British society regarding the economic and migratory effects of the withdrawal, leading to a general questioning of Brexit's effectiveness and forcing May to share the final decision with Parliament. Mauricio argues that, despite calls for the UK to be punished for its decision, it is unlikely that the European Union (EU) would punish London if it decides to retract. This is because punishment could make the EU unpopular and excite nationalisms in other countries. In fact, the reaction to Brexit has revitalized pro-European sentiment on the continent, making withdrawal unviable in countries like Spain or France. The court's decision clears the way for the UK to reverse the activation of Article 50. Finally, it is highlighted that British politics is highly fragmented and that, if the country remains, a thorough renegotiation of the conditions is unlikely, as the EU has not demanded conditions for remaining since the UK has not actually withdrawn yet