Evaluación de la sustentabilidad en sistemas agropecuarios de alta montaña bajo condiciones de variabilidad climática: Sumapaz, Colombia

Abstract

This research aims to design a model to determine the sustainability capacity of the agricultural systems of the Nazareth village of Sumapaz under conditions of the ENSO phenomenon between the year 2005 to 2019, taking into account the current forms of production, the practices management, the social conditions of the population, as well as the influence of climate variability, which generates phenomena such as El Niño and La Niña. The implemented methodology was developed in three stages: 1) the consultation, review, systematization and analysis of secondary information in the national and international framework, the analysis of the state of knowledge about the methods, variables and indicators that are currently used to evaluate sustainability; 2) a multidimensional exploratory analysis using the DTM VIC software Version 6.2 with the data obtained in field work, taking into account the methodology, variables and indicators selected in the bibliographic review to design a dynamic model that allows determining the sustainability of agricultural systems of the study area; 3) Evaluation of sustainability through the model designed and validated in the Vensim PLEP Software