Análisis de riesgos en un proyecto de optimización de redes de acueducto y alcantarillado. Caso de estudio barrio Porvenir Río y Villa Lady, Mosquera

Abstract

This monograph focuses on an aqueduct and sewer network installation project in the assignment phase, using a risk analysis approach based on the parameters established in the PMBOK guide. To this end, crucial information is gathered through historical facts, background information and relevant literature, with the objective of performing a more accurate and informed analysis in the selection of significant risks for the project in question. Subsequently, a qualitative analysis of the identified risks is carried out, using the probability and impact method, the importance of which is highlighted in the development of this document. After this phase, we proceed with the quantitative analysis of the risks, implementing the Monte Carlo method with the support of the Crystal Ball tool. This comprehensive approach allows a well-founded evaluation of the possible risks associated with the project. Finally, the respective analysis of the results obtained will be carried out, leaving this document as working material for similar case studies or projects of the same nature.