Desarrollo e implementación de un modelo estadístico para la predicción de la demanda de medicamentos en Droguerías Colsubsidio

Abstract

The project carried out during the internship was based on the development and implementation of an ARIMA model for the monthly forecast of the demand for medicines in Colsubsidio drugstores. This initiative arises as a response to the problem of inventory levels, since having an excess or shortage of medicines has a negative impact on the company's ability to provide an optimal service to its customers. This imbalance becomes a critical factor that directly affects the overall success of the organization, therefore, the implementation of this model seeks to mitigate the imbalances in inventory levels and ensure a more efficient management that allows to meet the needs of customers in a timely and accurate manner, and thus also contribute to a good competitiveness of the company in the market.