Revista de la mañana. Entrevista con el especialista en seguridad José John Marulanda Marín. Situación alerta naranja Venezuela

Abstract

Interview with John Marulanda, former military officer and security and defense specialist, regarding the declaration of an “orange alert” and the military exercises ordered by the Nicolás Maduro government on the border between Venezuela and Colombia. During the conversation, Marulanda maintains that there is no imminent threat of war between the two countries, but rather a show of force with primarily political and propaganda aims. He explains that the Venezuelan military movements, focused on anti-aircraft systems and defensive deployments, seek to send a psychological message rather than prepare for offensive action. The analyst describes how these exercises involve the concentration of troops and equipment at strategic points along the border, a vast and complex region that includes maritime, jungle, mountainous, and desert areas. Although he considers an armed conflict unlikely, he warns of the possibility of isolated border incidents that could be politically magnified by the Venezuelan government. Marulanda highlights the experience of the Colombian Armed Forces in managing tense situations on the border, a product of decades of internal conflict and the historical relationship with Venezuela. The report also analyzes the current geopolitical context, linking the military exercises to allegations of Colombian armed groups operating in Venezuela, the actions of the opposition led by Juan Guaidó, and international debates about a possible intervention in Venezuela. Finally, it compares the military capabilities of both countries, noting that Venezuela possesses a significant advantage in conventional weaponry, while Colombia has highly experienced military personnel. It concludes that the most likely scenario is continued diplomatic and media tension, without a large-scale military confrontation materializing.